Tag Archives: LeSean McCoy

Stock Market Thursday: NFL Week 16

Happy Holidays from the staff of RookieBlitz.com!

Our weekly feature will take a look at the Week 16 matchups and evaluate what players should see an increase or decrease in value in the Championship Game Week of the fantasy football playoffs.

Stock Up

Jerome Harrison – Cleveland Browns

The general consensus is that Head Coach Eric Mangini will continue to befuddle fantasy football owners with his tailback rotation with Jerome Harrison and Chris Jennings.  This comes one week after Harrison broke Jim Brown’s team rushing record with 34 carries for 286 yards and 3 touchdowns and added another 2 receptions for 12 yards for good measure.  There is no doubt that Harrison has the talent to play in the NFL, he just have never gotten a consistent shot at playing time.  Mangini won’t be a fool, he’ll continue to give Harrison the lion’s share of the carries and against the Raiders 28th ranked rush defense.  Harrison should top 100 yards rushing on the day and have a great chance of scoring a touchdown, don’t hesitate and get him in your lineup this week.

Beanie Wells – Arizona Cardinals

We’ve been high on Beanie Wells all season and it’s time he started paying dividends on his crazy good playoff schedule.  After a subpar team performance against Detroit, Coach Whisenhunt has indicated the Cardinals will play to win the final 2 games despite already clinching the NFC West.  This is great news for Wells; he is an excellent high-end RB2 this week against the 27th ranked Rams rush defense (140.8 YPG). Brandon LaClair covered most of the basics on Wells earlier this week here; there is little doubt Wells will be vital to a lot of championships this weekend.

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Twitter Fantasy Football Roundtable: Playoff Edition – Week 14

Welcome to the Week 14 Playoff Edition of the Twitter Fantasy Football Roundtable hosted by RookieBlitz.com!

All season long, the experts of the Twitter Fantasy Football Roundtable have given you weekly suggestions for your fantasy football lineup.  The majority of fantasy football leagues begin their playoffs with Week 14, so it will be our focus to help you win your matchup this weekend and eventually your league championship game.

In the fantasy football playoffs, each lineup decision becomes even more important and could be the difference between going home early or advancing to the next round.  Decisions will continue to get tougher as each team in the NFL will have a different agenda for their last few remaining games:  Quitting early on the season and/or head coach, start young untested players to see a glimpse of their future, potential playoff teams fighting to the bitter end, playoff teams who have clinched playoff seeds who take a few weeks off so they don’t risk further injury, and finally those teams chasing perfection.

If you keep these things in mind, you’ll have an edge on your opponent and you won’t be surprised when your star receiver Reggie Wayne of the Colts only plays a handful of downs Week 16 in your championship game.  If your league still allows for waiver wire pickups, check out our RookieBlitz.com suggested pickups for the playoffs at Running Back and Wide Receiver.

Don’t miss out on your chance to visit each website of the Twitter Fantasy Football Roundtable listed below.  Each member brings a unique perspective to our motley crew of experts, and best of all you can have instant access to them through Twitter.  If you haven’t already done so, make sure you give everyone a follow to have your lineup and trade questions answered.

Without further adieu, the experts of the Twitter Fantasy Football Roundtable present our Sleeper and Bust picks by position for Week 14.

Bryan Fontaine, RookieBlitz.com

Sleepers

Robert Meachem, Wide Receiver – New Orleans Saints

Robert Meachem has been one of the biggest fantasy football surprises of 2009.  What shouldn’t be a surprise is that he has become a viable starting option as a WR3 or Flex player for your fantasy football team.  All Meachem has done lately is make big plays for Drew Brees, and many fantasy football commissioners are still trying to figure out how to score his impressive return touchdown after stripping the ball from the Redskins defender.  Meachem won’t crack the 1,000 yard receiving mark by the end of the season, but his 8 touchdowns are remarkable.  He has come on strong lately with at least one touchdown in 5 straight games, and Atlanta’s 29th ranked pass defense will be no match for the Drew Brees to Robert Meachem connection.

Jamaal Charles, Running Back – Kansas City Chiefs

Jamaal Charles has quieted all of his critics that said he couldn’t handle a full NFL workload following the departure of featured back Larry Johnson.  Charles has always been known as a speedster, but he has shown incredible patience running behind the porous offensive line of the Chiefs.  Charles has shown a nose for the end zone with a touchdown in each of his last 4 games and now draws the worst run defense in the NFL in Week 14.  The Buffalo Bills are allowing 172.1 yards per game on the ground and Charles will be an excellent option in the first round of the fantasy football playoffs.  Don’t sleep on Charles anymore; he has emerged as a solid RB2 option.

Vince Young, Quarterback – Tennessee Titans

Vince Young has the Titans playing inspired football and brought the team back into contention for a wild card spot after they were left for dead at 0-6.  Young and the Titans came up just short to the Colts last week, but Young had another solid fantasy day and now has 628 passing yards in his last 2 games.  Young has found a new favorite receiver in rookie Kenny Britt to go with his old standby at tight end in Bo Scaife.  The St. Louis Rams are playing better against the pass lately and now rank 16th in the league but their main focus will be stopping Chris Johnson this week with their 28th ranked run defense.  Young will be a sneaky play in the first week of the playoffs because of the attention that Johnson will receive and could top 300 total yards and multiple touchdowns.  Young doesn’t run as much as his prior incarnation as a starting NFL Quarterback, but the Rams are allowing 3.94 yards per carry and have surrendered two running touchdowns to opposing QB’s.  If your current starter has a tough matchup (Carson Palmer, Jay Cutler, or Kyle Orton) you can start Young with confidence against the Rams.

Ginny Loveless, FootballDiehards.com

Busts

Antonio Bryant, Wide Receiver – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Bryant has started his annual late-season surge, being targeted a season-high 11 times this past week, catching five passes for 116 yards. He is now averaging 103.5 yard receiving in his past two games.  This week though faces the number one pass defense in the league, the New York Jets. Jets only allowing 167 passing yards a game in 2009, and boast the top shutdown corner in the league in Darrelle Revis.  Bryant has some decent matchups going forward, with Seattle, New Orleans, and Atlanta to end the season.  This week though is not one of those good matchups.

Frank Gore, Running Back – San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers have officially transitioned to a spread-style of offense, throwing the ball on 21 of their first 24 plays this past week against the Seahawks.  Gore had averaged 160 total yards against Seattle in his past seven games, but only received 9 carries in Week 13. He now has 32 carries in the past three weeks, while San Francisco is dead last in the NFL averaging 21 rushing attempts a game.  Gore is able to pick up some of the fantasy slack in the passing game, as he averaging six receptions a game in the past two games, and is the top targeted running back in the past six weeks.  Arizona the fourth best defense in allowing only 94.8 yards rushing a game on the road, and is coming off of a week which saw them hold Adrian Peterson to 19 yards rushing on 13 carries.

Jay Cutler, Quarterback – Chicago Bears

Facing one of the hottest defenses going, Cutler will probably be without Orlando Pace, and his best receiver Devin Hester is hobbled with a calf injury.  Without a clear-cut no. 1 receiver to have to focus on, expect Charles Woodson to cut loose all over the field.  2009 1st round pick Clay Matthews is starting to come into his own, sacking Joe Flacco twice on Monday Night Football.  Matthews has 3 sacks in the past two weeks, and a team-high seven on the season.  Cutler looks shell-shocked, not throwing for over 150 yards in each of the past two weeks, and his 20 interceptions are tied with Matthew Stafford for worst in the NFL.  Green Bay the 4th best pass defense on the road, allowing 187.2 passing yards per game.

Greg Dietz, BigTroph.com

Quarterback

Sleeper: Joe Flacco – Baltimore Ravens

Flacco has had a rough go at it in his sophomore year and last week on Monday night, he threw three very hurtful interceptions (two on back-to-back offensive plays) which sunk the Ravens to 6-6 and jeopardized their playoff chances. However this week, Flacco has the ultimate chance to redeem himself against Detroit and their woeful pass defense. The Lions rank dead last in the league in both pass yards allowed and average QB rating. That’s not where it ends. They also are tied for 31st in interceptions and have given up the most touchdown passes to opposing quarterbacks. At a time when Flacco has been anything but a solid start, he will provide owners with a great stat line this coming weekend and likely propel many owners to their playoffs if they’re not already there.

Bust: Eli Manning – New York Giants

Eli hasn’t quite been the top quarterback that he was at the beginning of the season, but he is still ranked just outside of the top 10 in QB rating and passing yards. However, this week he is going up against Philadelphia and I think we all know how bad they can make a quarterback look. They are one of just four teams that have over 20 interceptions this season and on top of that, they are holding opposing gunslingers to an average QB rating of just 72.5. I know many owners may only be using Eli as an emergency backup right now as playoffs roll around, but with several QBs around the league injured, I also know of many owners who only have Eli to rely on. Unfortunately, Eli has a tough matchup this week and will not do much for GMs in week 14.

Jim Day, FantasyFootballWhiz.com

Running Back

Sleeper: Fred Jackson – Buffalo Bills

The new interim Head Coach Perry Fewell in Buffalo has named Jackson the starter and it was evidenced last week when Jackson saw 16 touches to Marshawn Lynch’s 7. Lynch did have more yards and even scored a touchdown, although that touchdown was because of some poor tackling by the Jets. This week Jackson will make much better use of his increased touches against a Kansas City defense that has given up 8 TDs and an average of 187 yards a game to opposing RBs over the last 5 games.

Bust: LeSean McCoy – Philadelphia Eagles

Last week McCoy was expected to have a decent game against a Falcons defense that had given up 9 touchdowns to opposing running backs over their last 5 games, especially with Brian Westbrook still being out. Of course as we know now, that is not how it worked out. McCoy touched the ball a total of 9 times for a grand total of 26 yards. Eldra Buckley and Leonard Weaver both had more yards from scrimmage than McCoy did and Buckley had more carries. This week he faces a Giants team that is allowing an average of 71 yards per game over the last 5 and has only allowed 3 touchdowns to running backs over that same span.

Chet Gresham, Razzball.com

Wide Receiver

Sleeper:  Kevin Walter – Houston Texans

Seattle’s pass defense has been non-existent as of late. Matt Schaub’s injury is a bit disconcerting, but he seemed to play ok when he came back into the game. Football Outsiders rank Seattle 31st against #2 wide receivers.  He isn’t going to all of the sudden turn into an every week start, but this matchup is too good to pass up.

Bust: Vincent Jackson – San Diego Chargers

Jackson started the season incredibly hot, but it’s been 6 weeks since he’s topped 60 yards receiving and 5 weeks since he’s found the end zone.  It seems like just a matter of time before VJax breaks out again, but traveling to Dallas isn’t the best place to do that.  Dallas has been tough on #1 receivers.  Since week 7 the Cowboys haven’t given up over 11 fantasy points to any receiver.  They have only given up 100 yards to a receiver 3 times this year and two of those came against the Giants in week 2!  Since then they have improved tremendously.  Add Jackson’s slump to the Cowboys’ resurgence against #1′s and you have another down game.

Matt Schauf, RapidDraft.com

Tight End

Sleeper: Kevin Boss – N.Y. Giants

No team has allowed more receptions by opposing tight ends than the Eagles. No team has yielded as many receiving yards to opposing tight ends as the Eagles. More than a third of the touchdown passes Philadelphia has allowed all season (seven of 18) have gone to tight ends, including one to Boss in the first meeting. For what it’s worth, even Boss’ season highs in receptions and yardage in 2008 each came against the Eagles. His three catches, 70 yards and one touchdown back in Week 8 of this year could have easily turned into a bigger game, as Boss ranked second on the team with nine targets, more than in any other contest this year. Just for good measure, the Giants’ tight end did add three more touchdown catches in the two games following that first clash with the Eagles. Tougher matchups and a mere five targets limited Boss in the past two weeks, but there’s little doubt that he’ll need to be significantly involved for the Giants to beat a team that’s tough against the run and strong at corner.

Bust: Jeremy Shockey – New Orleans Saints

Even though the Saints have proven their offense likes to run the ball, we all know the team brings into every game some explosive air-strike ability. Shockey just hasn’t been flying as often lately. Over the past four games, he has actually drawn fewer targets than fellow tight end David Thomas. The only one of those contests in which Shockey saw more chances than Thomas was the near-loss at Washington last week, when New Orleans played from behind the whole day and Drew Brees put up a season-high 43 passes. In those other three outings over the past four weeks, Brees attempted fewer than 30 passes each time as his team won by double digits twice and surprisingly closely over the Rams. Unless Michael Turner and Matt Ryan drink some magic elixir before the weekend, Atlanta has approximately no shot at making Sunday’s rematch close. That should mean another day of 26-28 attempts for Brees and another day on which Shockey doesn’t catch a ton of balls. In four of the past five games, he has grabbed three or fewer. The other (last week) produced four receptions. To me, that translates to very limited upside.

Jason Sarney, FantasyPhenoms.com

Team Defense

Sleeper: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs

Although the Bills are not a good football team overall, they happen to have a top-5 pass defense. They are tied with the Packers for an NFL-high 21 interceptions, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they added a couple more this weekend. Kansas City is atrocious in terms of passing, and Matt Cassel isn’t scaring anyone.  However, their rushing defense is the worst in the league, so Jamaal Charles could do some damage.  This unit has a solid chance of a pick-6, or even a Special Teams TD so roll the dice if you are desperate.

Bust: Cincinnati Bengals at Minnesota Vikings

On paper, these two defenses are lights-out against the run. Too bad the Bengals have to face Adrian Peterson, and the Vikings have to face Cedric Benson.  Not to mention Brett Favre and Carson Palmer.  Look for a relative shoot-out here, and neither units are ones to trust.

Twitter Fantasy Football Roundtable: Sleepers & Busts for Week 6

This article can be found at Football Diehards written by Ginny Loveless:

As we head into week 6 of the NFL season, the fantasy realm is abuzz with updates and injuries.  Here are some important tidbits to remember . . .

*WR Jerricho Cotchery (hamstring) is listed as doubtful and has not practiced all week. WR David Clowney will be in the starting lineup and could pick up where he left off last week, fantasy-wise. With Cotchery out, it appears Braylon Edwards’ fantasy stock rises even more, considering the interest QB Mark Sanchez has showed to him thus far.  (NY Jets vs. Buffalo)

*RB Knowshon Moreno is still the featured back in Denver, although RB Correll Buckhalter (ankle) is predicted to return this week.  Keep an eye on potential the role-changes in Denver.  (Denver @San Diego)

*RB Mike Bell is to return to the field this week after missing two games with a knee injury. While this seemingly makes the Saints’ backfield a bit more crowded, RB Pierre Thomas (hamstring) has been limited in practice all week and is listed as probable.   (New Orleans vs. Giants)

*QB Matthew Stafford (knee) and WR Calvin Johnson (knee) are unlikely to play on Sunday; both have sat out of practice all week and are officially listed as questionable. QB Daunte Culpepper is expected to make his second start, while WR Dennis Northcutt is slated to lineup opposite Bryant Johnson is Calvin Johnson’s stead.   (Detroit @ Green Bay)

*RB Willie Parker (turf toe) is expected to return to the field, and has practiced every day this week. RB Rashard Mendenhall is still reported to be the starter in Pittsburgh, although Parker is slated to get a bite-size portion of the carries.  The good news is that this week they are playing at home against the NFL’s worst run defense.  (Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland)

*Other key injuries, currently listed as QUESTIONABLE:

Arizona WR Steve Breaston (knee)

Minnesota WR Percy Harvin (shoulder)

Cincinnati RB Brian Leonard (groin) – Doubtful

Philadelphia WR Kevin Curtis (knee)

Oakland WR Chaz Schilens (foot)

New England TE Benjamin Watson (head)

*Teams on bye: Indianapolis Colts,  Dallas Cowboys,  San Francisco 49ers , and Miami Dolphins.

Without further ado, here is our expert edition of the Twitter Fantasy Football Roundtable that you have been dying to get your hands on all week.

Ginny Loveless, www.footballdiehards.com (@GBGinny)

Sleeper#1: Donnie Avery, WR, St. Louis Rams

Coming off his best performance of the year (5/87/1), Donnie Avery faces a Jaguar defense that gives up a monstrous average of 29.6 fantasy points to opposing receivers. To those same receivers, the Jags have allowed 1000+ receiving yards and nine touchdowns. Per receiver, that’s an average 16 receptions for 205 yards and 1.8 touchdowns! While that data is slightly inflated due to the outrageous performances of TJ Houshmandzadeh and Nate Burleson last week, the concept remains the same: opposing WR’s should excel against Jacksonville. The Jags have also allowed the most receptions (78) to rival wide receivers, and Avery is the most-targeted player on the team with an average of 6.4 per game. On a side note, while I officially list Donnie Avery as the sleeper WR for St. Louis this week, keep your eye on Keenan Burton.  His targets increased two-fold from weeks four to five, with a 44.4% increase since the departure of Laurent Robinson.

Sleeper#2: Thomas Jones, RB, NY Jets

In this home game against Buffalo, it seems like the Jets’ main running back, Thomas Jones, is going to have a sweet ride.  The Bills are under serious injury constraints with the loss of linebackers Paul Posluzny and John DiGeorgio and backups Kawika Mitchell and Marcus Buggs. In addition, safeties Donte Whitner and Bryan Scott have been out for the past two matchups.  (Reports indicate, however, that Posluzny and Whitner should be back this week.) Nonetheless, the Bills give their opposing running backs an average of 24.6 fantasy points per game, with an average of 151 rushing yards and 1.4 touchdowns per game.  And since the Jets like to spread the ball around their backfield, Leon Washington and possibly (in a blow-out situation) Shonn Greene could make for effective Flex plays if you face bye week issues.

Sleeper#3: Jermicheal Finley, TE, Green Bay Packers

This is one of those times when you stash a player on your bench and start him for a prime-time situational matchup. Last week I told everyone to start Finley since he was up against Minnesota, the most gracious team towards opposing tight ends. Finely broke out against them with six catches for 128 yards and a touchdown.  If you missed out, don’t fret – start him this week against the Lions.  So far this year, the Lions have allowed six touchdowns their opposing tight ends, the most of any team in the league, giving those tight ends an average of 10.2 fantasy points per game.

Jim Day, www.fantasyfootballwhiz.com (@fantasytaz)

Bust#1: Matt Cassel, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

Over the last three games, Matt Cassel has been the 12th ranked QB in fantasy points. That ends this week. He is going against a Washington defense that is ranked third against opposing QBs and has only allowed one TD per game through the 1st five weeks. When you add in that KC has allowed their QBs to be sacked 17 times, I am looking for Cassel to be running for his life all game.

Bust#2: Julius Jones, RB, Seattle Seahawks

After getting off to a better start than most fantasy owners expected, Jones has come back down to earth the last two weeks, only scoring a total of 10 fantasy points in both weeks combined. This week he goes against a Cardinals defense that has not allowed a single rusher over 66 yards in any contest. When you consider they have faced the likes of Frank Gore, Maurice Jones-Drew, Joseph Addai and Donald Brown, and Steve Slaton, they have done their job. Look for them to shut down Jones this week.

Bust#3: Andre Johnson, WR, Houston Texans

I know I am going to get a ton of flack for this, as a matter of fact I had some arguments going back and forth on twitter this week about it, but Cincy has done a great job shutting down opposing teams #1 WR. Looking back at the CIN/PIT game, some would make the argument that Hines Ward might still be considered the #1, but most fantasy owners don’t think that. Holmes has been the #1 for a while now.  I know AJ can always break a big one and turn this right around, but I just think he will have a tough game against a suddenly very tough Leon Hall.

Greg Dietz, www.bigtroph.com (@GregDietz)

Running Back Sleeper: LeSean McCoy, Philadelphia Eagles

Brian Westbrook’s role in the Philadelphia offense is on the down slope right now based solely on the fact that head coach Andy Reid said that he would be splitting carries with McCoy from here on out. Seeing as Westbrook only managed to get six carries last week, I imagine that his numbers (while not being as low as six carries each week) will continue to decline over the course of the season. In steps McCoy who was impressive in his one game as a starter (20 carries for 84 yards) and is averaging over four yards per carry in limited action. Add that to the fact that Philadelphia is playing Oakland and its 31st ranked rush defense on Sunday and McCoy is suddenly a very tempting option this week despite sharing carries with the aging Westbrook.

Running Back Bust: LaDainian Tomlinson, San Diego Chargers

Tomlinson is one running back that I never thought would hit a wall. However, he has been plagued by injuries nearly all year and when he actually is on the field; he is averaging only 10 rushes per game and 3.5 yards per carry. He has looked no better than a backup at this point yet people continue to plug him into their lineups based on his name alone. Well this week the Chargers face off against the Broncos and this isn’t quite the Denver defense that took the field in 2008. The best a single back has done against the Broncos this season was Cedric Benson back in week one when he gained 76 yards on the ground. Since then, they have been downright nasty in stopping opposing runners and currently rank ninth overall in rush defense. Tomlinson might find his stride at some point this year, but it won’t be against Mike Nolan’s stout defense on Monday night.

Chet Gresham, www.razzball.com (@razzball)

Quarterback Sleeper: Matt Hasselbeck, Seattle Seahawks

After a huge game last week he may not count as a sleeper, but there is a good chance he is your backup QB and unless you have a stud with a great matchup I believe Hasselbeck is your man.  He is at home once again, which is often key for the Seahawks and he gets the Cardinals who have given up the most yards per game through the air. There is a good chance that Arizona’s passing attack will keep them in the game which should allow Hass plenty of opportunity to throw to Burleson and Houshmandzadeh.

Quarterback Bust: Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers

I’m not going to tell you to sit Philip Rivers for JaMarcus Russell, but Denver’s pass defense isn’t just a fluke. I would start Hasselbeck over him this week and not feel bad about it. Well, a little, but sometimes we have to trust the statistics and Denver has given up the least amount of fantasy points to quarterbacks.  I think it’s time to get on the Denver defensive bandwagon even though they average about 52 years of age.

Matt Schauf, RapidDraft.com (@mschauf63)

Wide Receiver Sleeper: Donnie Avery, St. Louis Rams

No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing receivers so far than Jacksonville. Although many of those can be attributed to last week’s four-touchdown debacle against Seattle, the Jaguars have yielded at least one touchdown to opposing wideouts every week. In addition, at least one enemy receiver has finished each game with seven catches or more. Avery ranked behind Keenan Burton in targets last week (and he’s also a sleeper this time), but it was Avery who caught three of Marc Bulger’s seven passes, including the touchdown, upon Bulger’s entrance.

Wide Receiver Bust: Andre Johnson, Houston Texans

No starting X receiver has caught more than four passes against the Bengals and CB Leon Hall this year. Among all wideouts, only one has caught a touchdown pass against Cincinnati that was actually thrown to him. (The other, of course, was that miracle tip and bounce to Brandon Stokely.) As good as Johnson is, he has already had three games this year in which he caught four passes or fewer. The players Hall has already helped to neutralize include Brandon Marshall, Greg Jennings, Santonio Holmes and Derrick Mason.

Jason Sarney- www.fantasyphenoms.com (@fantasyphenoms)

Tight End Sleeper: Marcedes Lewis, Jacksonville Jaguars

With a soft match-up against St. Louis, look for David Garrard to spread the ball around and utilize his big TE, Lewis. I think four catches for about 50 yards is the bare minimum Lewis can do for your squad with a good chance at finding the end-zone this Sunday.

Tight End Bust: Kevin Boss, NY Giants

Boss was a Week 5 scratch due to an ankle injury and the Giants have too many weapons to rely on Boss in Week 6 against a good Saints defense. The TE to start in this game is ex-Giant and current Saint, Jeremy Shockey. He’ll no doubt want to stick it to his old squad.

Bryan Fontaine – RookieBlitz.com (@rookieblitz)

Team Defense Sleeper: Green Bay Packers (vs. Detroit Lions)

Green Bay is coming off their bye week fully rested after the tough loss to the Vikings in Week 4.  Green Bay has had an extra week to study some old Daunte Culpepper game tape as the Lions will probably be without rookie QB Matthew Stafford again this week.  Without Calvin Johnson, Al Harris and Charles Woodson will have no problem shutting down Bryant Johnson and company.  Green Bay won’t let up in the 2nd half like Pittsburgh did last week, they’ll keep the pressure on so that they can keep pace in the tough NFC North.  Green Bay was probably dropped last week in your league because of their bye week, make sure to scoop them off the waiver wire this week and start them with confidence.  Another defensive score like rookie LB Clay Matthews’ TD against the Vikings is not out of the question.

Team Defense Bust: Chicago Bears (at Atlanta Falcons)

Chicago draws a tough matchup versus the white-hot Atlanta Falcons at the Georgia Dome on Sunday Night Football. The Bears finally return to the scene of one of Matt Ryan’s most impressive highlights from his rookie season, the last second 22-20 victory by the Falcons over the Bears.  The Bears won’t have much of a chance to atone for their loss last season as the Falcons are coming off a 45-10 drubbing of an upstart 49ers team.  The Bears still remain a name defense to many casual fantasy football owners, but they’ll continue to struggle without Brian Urlacher who is lost for the season.  The 3-1 Bears are giving up 19.5 points per game, and Atlanta could easily score over 30 this week.  If you don’t have another option it would be recommended to hit the waiver wire this week.

2009 Draft Class – Season Preview

Finally the preseason is over, roster cuts have been made and the season is less than a week away.  RookieBlitz.com takes a second look of its ranked players and highlights the rookies that will help you win your Fantasy Football League in 2009.  Watching preseason football can be tedious at times, but it is very important to see how the new rookies will adapt to the speed, pressure, and schemes they are put in.  Read on for several players that RookieBlitz.com recommends are on every team this season.

Find the previous RookieBlitz.com Season Previews here: Quarterbacks, Running Backs, Wide Receiver (Part 1 and Part 2), and Tight Ends

Quarterback

Mark Sanchez – NYJ: Sanchez looks the part of a franchise quarterback.  He will struggle as a rookie, but he appears to have “it”.  Sanchez (NYJ vs. MIA) is a viable starting option for Aaron Rodgers owners during the Packers Week 5 Bye.

Matthew Stafford – DET: The Lions have yet to name their starting QB, and when Stafford gets his chance this season you will want to monitor him on the waiver wire depending on the size of your league.  He will run hot and cold much like a Jay Cutler, but get used to saying Stafford to Calvin Johnson.

Running Back

Knowshon Moreno – DEN: Moreno is currently nursing a knee injury that will hamper him the first few weeks of the NFL season.  The cream will rise to the top and you can use his injury to your advantage as he falls in drafts or as a trade target from a nervous owner.  He could be a key contributor for your team beginning after Week 4, and is still the RookieBlitz.com choice for Rookie of the Year.

Donald Brown – IND: This guy has everything you are looking for in a running back and is already one of the hardest working members of the Colts.  Brown could be one of the top keeper players in 2010 with a big season as the lead back in the Colts committee approach with Joseph Addai.  Brown will pass Addai at some point in 2009.

Chris “Beanie” Wells – ARI: Unless you take him early, you probably won’t get Wells on your team in 2009.  I am higher on Moreno and Brown, but Wells still is a big and fast physical specimen.  Only Tim Hightower stands in his way of the starting job.  One final word of caution, the Cardinals will still make their hay passing the ball to Fitzgerald and Boldin and there isn’t much history of successful lead backs in Arizona.

LeSean McCoy – PHI: It is hard to believe McCoy’s talent matches the massive hype surrounding him.  He was previously compared to Jamaal Charles by RookieBlitz.com, which is not a slight at either player.  Should he get an opportunity due to injury to Brian Westbrook, McCoy would be an every week start in the high powered Eagles offense even with his talent shortcomings.

Shonn Greene – NYJ: It is hard to see the hype based on the game film of Shonn Greene so far in preseason action.  Leon Washington is finally flashing his all around talent and Thomas Jones still looks like a solid running back.  Greene would get a chance with an injury to Jones, but Washington would get a larger share of the carries in that scenario.

James Davis – CLE: Davis has showed big play ability this preseason after he fell in the draft due to a subpar senior season at Clemson.  Davis will capitalize on his opportunity and will earn some late season starts as the Browns try to see what they have in him.  Don’t go too crazy to get Davis early in your drafts; Cleveland is still in for a long season in 2009.
Mike Goodson – CAR: Goodson is too talented to keep off the field as he has been one of the best stories this preseason.  You need to keep an eye on the Jonathan Stewart injury situation.  Goodson should be a target on DeAngelo Williams owners as a handcuff, Stewart will be drafted too high to be considered.

Bernard Scott – CIN: One of the stars of Hard Knocks, Scott has the best chance to be this year’s Steve Slaton.  He’s already locked down the backup job to Benson and needs to be on one of the last spots on your roster.

Glenn Coffee – SF and Rashad Jennings – JAX: Coffee will be the primary backup to Frank Gore, and Jennings will backup Maurice Jones-Drew.

Wide Receiver

Percy Harvin – MIN: One of the most hyped rookies this preseason, you need to have clarity in you believe in Harvin in 2009.  You’ll have to draft him before more established veterans like Derrick Mason, Torry Holt and Donald Driver.  Harvin’s talent is undeniable, but you may be better off going with one of the veterans instead.

Hakeem Nicks – NYG: Nicks will supplant Hixon by midseason at the latest.  Nicks has been showing his big play ability the last 2 games of the preseason and will force his way into more playing time for the Giants.

Jeremy Maclin – PHI: Maclin is developing nicely and could have more of an early opportunity with the injury concerns surrounding Kevin Curtis.  McNabb has already stated he thinks Maclin could start now.

Kenny Britt – TEN: Britt was one of the players this preseason that made me change my outlook for him based on his play.  He could develop into a matchup nightmare like a Brandon Marshall.  He is likely an early season starter with Nate Washington on the mend.

Darrius Heyward-Bey – OAK:  Chaz Schilens will be out for several more weeks, so Heyward-Bey will be the top option for the Raiders by default.  He is worth a late round flier based on his upside, but his best case scenario long term is a Bryant Johnson type that flashes ability inconsistently.

Michael Crabtree – SF: Crabtree continues to holdout.  He has little redraft value left in 2009; he is worth a last round flier as a player to watch in 2010.

Deon Butler – SEA: Butler is another player that was worth another look this preseason based on his play.  He could supplant Deion Branch at some point this season as the starting slot receiver.

Brian Hartline – MIA: Fourth round pick Brian Hartline got some starts this preseason so stay tuned to find out if it was a motivational play to Bess and Camarillo or if he is a deep sleeper good enough to start as a rookie in the NFL.

Sammie Stroughter – TB: Stroughter has proved he shouldn’t have fallen to the 7th round and has worked himself into a prominent role in the Buccaneers’ offense.

Austin Collie – IND: Collie is too talented to keep off the field.  He’ll be in a rotation with Pierre Garcon for the slot receiver position in the high octane Colts offense.

Mohamed Massaquoi and Brian Robiskie – CLE: Neither player stood out this preseason, but are worth monitoring because of the wide open opportunity at wide receiver in Cleveland.

Tight End

Jared Cook – TEN: Cook will play a hybrid WR/TE role in 2009, and will make some big plays out of the slot when matched against slower linebackers.  Temper expectations (Remember Vernon Davis), but he could still be in for some big games.

Brandon Pettigrew – DET: Pettigrew will be the second receiving option for the Lions behind Calvin Johnson.  He’s not worth getting excited about, but monitor him on the waiver wire.  Rookie tight ends tend to struggle so don’t count on him for consistent production.

RookieBlitz.com Certified Fresh Rookies in 2009

The following players are worthy of being on your fantasy football roster in 2009 if at all possible:

QB: Mark Sanchez
RB: Knowshon Moreno, Donald Brown, James Davis, Mike Goodson, Bernard Scott
WR: Percy Harvin, Hakeem Nicks

Donald Brown, Knowshon Moreno, and Percy Harvin will cost you a mid-round selection as the hype around each is considerable.  Each is worth the price to acquire them.

Monitor Sanchez, Davis, Goodson, Scott and Nicks as you fill out the end of your roster on draft day.  The payoff for each could be huge, and you’ll beat your leaguemates to the punch as they lead your team to the top in 2009.

Stay tuned to RookieBlitz.com thought-out the season as we highlight the key rookie performances from each week and give you the analysis you need to win your fantasy football league!

RookieBlitz.com Rookie Draft Guide

The question every Fantasy Football owner faces each summer is when to take the new rookie players in their Fantasy Football Drafts.  It can be tough to gauge when to pull the trigger on the right player at the right time in your draft.   There are no career stats to thumb through, and only speculative player comparisons to get an idea of how well each of these players will do.  The best owners find a way to maximize the value of these players in their draft strategy and end up with several players who out produce their draft position.

Looking back to the 2008 season, there were several rookies who exceeded all expectations and likely propelled their teams into the playoffs.  If you were lucky enough last year to get a Matt Forte, Chris Johnson or Steve Slaton you can relate.   There may have been some luck involved, but the savvy fantasy football owner likely knew each of these players very well going into their draft.

Drafting rookies does not come without risk, and a team made up of mostly rookie players is unlikely to have a winning record.  Most often you hope for the best, and you optimistically project stats for a rookie at his ceiling rather than his floor or even his likely average somewhere in between.  A rookie that performs at a stud player level is highly uncommon especially at quarterback and wide receiver.  Even after breakout rookie campaigns where they led their teams to the playoffs, Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco were barely backup level fantasy quarterbacks last season.

RookieBlitz.com has put together a Rookies-Only Draft Guide to help you navigate through your redraft league this summer.  Each player has value and no player should be completely removed from your draft board.  You want to maximize the players that you take that will exceed the draft position they were selected in.   Many of the rookies listed below may go even higher than their listed ADP.  Using the RookieBlitz.com draft guide you can feel confident that you will stick to your draft board and not make any major reaches that will cripple your team.  Depending on the level of your competition, you may be able to get some of these players much later than the recommended round listed.

Each player has a recommendation of Draft or Pass given their current ADP.

Average Draft Position (ADP) listed as of July 30, 2009 using a 12 Team League Format

QB Matthew Stafford – DET
2009 Outlook: Competing with Daunte Culpepper to start Week 1
Current ADP:  15th Round
Recommendation:  Draft – 12th Round or later

QB Mark Sanchez – NYJ
2009 Outlook: Competing with Kellen Clemens to start Week 1
Current ADP:  15th Round
Recommendation:  Pass – Draft in the 17th Round or later

RB Knowshon Moreno – DEN
2009 Outlook: Competing to be the Broncos featured back
Current ADP:  4th Round
Recommendation:  Draft – 3rd Round or later

RB Chris “Beanie” Wells – ARI
2009 Outlook: Competing with Tim Hightower for snaps at RB
Current ADP:  5th Round
Recommendation:  Pass – Draft in the 7th Round or later

RB Donald Brown – IND
2009 Outlook: Competing with Joseph Addai for snaps at RB
Current ADP:  7th Round
Recommendation:  Draft – 7th Round or later

RB LeSean McCoy – PHI
2009 Outlook: Handcuff to Brian Westbrook
Current ADP:  9th Round
Recommendation:  Draft – 9th Round or later

RB Shonn Greene – NYJ
2009 Outlook: Goal-line RB
Current ADP:  12th Round
Recommendation:  Pass – Draft in the 18th Round or later

RB Michael Crabtree – SF
2009 Outlook: Competing with Isaac Bruce to start
Current ADP:  8th Round
Recommendation:  Draft – 7th Round or later

WR Hakeem Nicks – NYG
2009 Outlook: Competing to replace Plaxico Burress
Current ADP:  11th Round
Recommendation:  Pass – Draft in the 13th Round or later

WR Percy Harvin – MIN
2009 Outlook: Starting WR, Wildcat QB
Current ADP:  10th Round
Recommendation:  Pass – Draft  13th Round or later

WR Jeremy Maclin – PHI
2009 Outlook: Competing with Kevin Curtis to start
Current ADP:  11th Round
Recommendation:  Pass – Draft in the 16th Round or later

WR Brian Robiskie – CLE
2009 Outlook: Starting WR
Current ADP:  14th Round
Recommendation:  Draft – 12th Round or later

WR Kenny Britt – TEN
2009 Outlook: Competing to start at WR
Current ADP:   18th Round
Recommendation:  Draft – 13th Round or later

WR Darrius Heyward-Bey – OAK
2009 Outlook: Starting WR
Current ADP:  15th Round
Recommendation:  Pass – Draft 17th Round or later

TE Brandon Pettigrew – DET
2009 Outlook: Starting TE
Current ADP:  17th Round
Recommendation:  Pass – Draft 19th Round or later

In summary, the following players will out produce their current draft position and should be players on your radar on draft day:  Matthew Stafford, Knowshon Moreno, Donald Brown, LeSean McCoy, Michael Crabtree, Brian Robiskie, and Kenny Britt.  Don’t be disappointed if one of these players is taken before you can select them.  You’ll have someone of equal value fall to your spot after someone makes that reach.

Good luck and happy drafting from RookieBlitz.com

Running Backs – 2009 Season Preview

Knowshon Moreno – Broncos
Player Comparison – Clinton Portis
Projected 2009 Stats
– 213 att, 869 yards, 7 TD; 33 rec, 219 yards, 0 TD

New Broncos Head Coach Josh McDaniel’s shocked many of the draft pundits for selecting Moreno 12th overall after bringing in an entire stable of new running backs into Denver this off-season. The Broncos reportedly had Moreno as one of their top players on their draft board, and couldn’t let such great value pass them by. Moreno isn’t the biggest or the fastest player, but he makes up for it in vision, work ethic, and determination. If Moreno can prove himself early on that he is more than adequate to keep Kyle Orton upright, the Broncos could consider him to be a true three down running back.

Moreno is the likely Rookie of the Year front runner and should be receiving the majority of the carries by the Week 6 match-up with the San Diego Chargers. The Broncos have a brutal fantasy schedule, but RookieBlitz.com’s projected stats for Moreno is his floor in 2009. He could under the right circumstances get to the 1,100 yard plateau and potentially double digit touchdowns.

Donald Brown – Colts
Player Comparison – Pierre Thomas
Projected 2009 Stats
– 162 att, 687 yards, 5 TD; 30 rec, 237 yards, 1 TD

Donald Brown was appealing to the Colts at the end of Round 1 for many reasons. Brown has the character and work ethic that every coach wants out of his entire 53 man roster. Brown is a humble individual and will accept a part time role with Joseph Addai after a stellar college career at UConn. He’ll be a perfect fit for the Colts famed stretch play and play action pass. Brown was not asked to block or pass catch much in college, so these will be key areas to improve upon as a pro.

Brown could easily enjoy the rookie season that Addai had in 2006 sharing time with Dominic Rhodes. While at the time Addai was considered a major reach to fill the void of Edgerrin James, Brown is a highly regarded prospect. Rumor has it that the Cardinals were in position to draft Brown instead of Beanie Wells before the Colts beat them to the punch.

Given the situation that Brown finds himself in, he could be a key contributor to your fantasy football championship in 2009 as a mid-round steal. Brown will pass Addai on the depth chart in 2010, making him an excellent keeper league pick.

Chris “Beanie” Wells – Cardinals
Player Comparison – Larry Johnson
Projected 2009 Stats
– 209 att, 784 yards, 8 TD; 14 rec, 101 yards, 1 TD

On paper Beanie Wells looks to have the best opportunity of all the rookie runners to have success in 2009. Wells will benefit from being a part of the high flying Cardinals offense featuring Kurt Warner, Larry Fitzgerald, and Anquan Boldin and a gaping hole at running back with the departure of Edgerrin James. Wells only has to the fight off a challenge from the unspectacular but effective Tim Hightower for carries. The Cardinals have a favorable fantasy football schedule in 2009.

It sounds almost too good to be true right? It is, and Wells will have a tough time living up to the preseason hype. At the end of the day, the Cardinals still have not been a good running team for several years and the defense puts them in many high scoring shootouts. Wells struggled with injuries while at Ohio State and will need to prove that he is over the injury bug in the much more physical NFL. He has the measurables and speed to dominate given his opportunity but he is not worth the risk. Someone else in your league will buy into the hype and select Wells earlier than he should be drafted. There is much better value to be had in your draft, so pass on Wells in your redraft leagues in 2009.

LeSean McCoy – Eagles
Player Comparison – Jamaal Charles
Projected 2009 Stats
– 111 att, 490 yards, 3 TD; 29 rec, 201 yards, 1 TD

McCoy seemingly fell to the second round after being mentioned by many as a first round prospect. The Eagles gladly drafted McCoy to be the eventual replacement for Brian Westbrook. Ironically many had compared McCoy to his new teammate Westbrook because of their small stature, ability to break runs outside and having excellent hands at the running back position. McCoy’s measurables didn’t match up with his college production or his game tape which lead to his eventual drop in the draft.

McCoy will be the lead backup to Westbrook; which will present fantasy value given Westbrook’s documented injury history. If McCoy can develop and show that his speed translates to the NFL than the Eagles may have found their running back of the future in the second round. If he fails, he will join a graveyard of failed running backs in Philadelphia all hoping to replace Westbrook: Tony Hunt, Ryan Moats, and Lorenzo Booker etc.

Shonn Greene – Jets
Player Comparison – Correll Buckhalter
Projected 2009 Stats
– 89 att, 376 yards, 5 TD; 12 rec, 62 yards, 0 TD

In case you missed the press clippings; Greene’s arrival to Gotham has supposedly already brought a premature end to the Thomas Jones era. That will not be the case in 2009 as Jones still has plenty of good football left in the tank. Greene was one of the few power backs available in this draft class and he lasted until the first selection of Round 3. Concerns over Greene’s playing speed caused him to slip even though he dominated the Big Ten conference as a senior at Iowa. Greene may develop into a premier goal line back, but that is not a certainty at this point.

The Jets made their second major move of draft weekend to trade up and select Greene after they had him as the #1 overall running back on their draft board. Greene will be given every opportunity to succeed with the Jets holding him in such high regard. Greene still makes an interesting late round sleeper given the run blocking strength of the New York offensive line led by Alan Faneca and Nick Mangold. If Greene starts to vulture touchdowns from Thomas Jones you will want to snag him off the waiver wire if he was not drafted in the late rounds.

Rookie Comparisons

Rookie Comparisons

RookieBlitz.com has put together a listing of some of the top rookies from the 2009 Draft Class and how the might compare to a player in the current NFL.

These rankings are for fun, and obviously many of these players will turn out much better than the player listed or much worse.  Read on and enjoy!

Quarterback

Matthew Stafford – Jay Cutler
Mark Sanchez – Eli Manning
Josh Freeman – Jason Campbell

Running Back

Knowshon Moreno – Clinton Portis
Donald Brown – Pierre Thomas
Chris “Beanie” Wells – Larry Johnson
LeSean McCoy – Jamaal Charles
Shonn Greene – Correll Buckhalter

Wide Receiver

Michael  Crabtree – Brandon Marshall
Hakeem Nicks – Marques Colston
Percy Harvin – Reggie Bush
Jeremy Maclin – Ted Ginn
Brian Robiskie – T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Kenny Britt – Mushin Muhammad
Darrius Heyward- Bey – Bryant Johnson
Jarrett Dillard – Derrick Mason

Tight End

Travis Beckum – Owen Daniels
Jared Cook – Dustin Keller
Brandon Pettigrew – Daniel Graham