Tag Archives: Wide Receiver

2009 First Round Review: WR

The wide receivers taken in the first round of the NFL Draft last year will go down as one of the best collections of talent in recent memory.  With the help of the advanced statistics of  ProFootballFocus.com, we will breakdown each of these players for you.

Rd Sel # Player Position School Team
1 7 Darrius Heyward-Bey WR Maryland Oakland Raiders
1 10 Michael Crabtree WR Texas Tech San Francisco 49ers
1 19 Jeremy Maclin WR Missouri Philadelphia Eagles
1 22 Percy Harvin WR Florida Minnesota Vikings
1 29 Hakeem Nicks WR North Carolina New York Giants
1 30 Kenny Britt WR Rutgers Tennessee Titans

Darrius Heyward-Bey
9 rec, 124 yards, 1 TD

The first wide receiver selected in the 2009 NFL Draft, Darrius Heyward-Bey struggled as a rookie for the Oakland Raiders.  It was shocking that Heyward-Bey was the first receiver taken over Michael Crabtree, even though he was regarded as a first round pick leading up to the draft.

Heyward-Bey started the first 11 games for the Raiders at split end and then a foot injury sidelined him for the final five games of the season.  The early end to his season may not have been the worst thing to happen to him; Heyward-Bey struggled with confidence issues, concentration lapses, poor quarterback play, and a historically bad catch percentage (9 receptions on 38 targets, 23.70%).

Heyward-Bey was not a fantasy option in 2009.  Although Heyward-Bey was not the first ever receiver to struggle as a rookie, there are reasons to be concerned about his future prospects.  The early camp reports this offseason indicate that he has turned a corner with his focus and conditioning, however, Heyward-Bey must improve his hands and route running to be successful.

Michael Crabtree
48 rec, 625 yards, 2 TD

The consensus top wide receiver in the 2009 NFL Draft did not have to wait long to hear his name called on draft day.  Michael Crabtree held out for the first five games of the season, and he made his San Fransisco debut in Week 7 against the Houston Texans.

Despite missing all of training camp, Crabtree started every game at split end and quickly became the most targeted 49ers wide receiver.  He was targeted almost eight times per game, and had at least three catches in every start.  Crabtree only scored two touchdowns in his rookie season, although the cause was the stellar play of tight end Vernon Davis and his record-tying 13 touchdowns.

Crabtree has the makings of a top-flight wide receiver in the NFL. He runs excellent routes and gets open despite not having élite speed.  His strong hands were on display often catching errant Alex Smith throws, and he proved to be tough to take down in the open field as evident by his 9 tackles eluded/broken in just 11 games.

Jeremy Maclin
55 rec, 762 yards, 4 TD

Jeremy Maclin was expected to spend his rookie season in a reserve role; however, he was installed into the starting lineup in Week 2 to replace the injured Kevin Curtis.  Maclin proved to be an excellent compliment to DeSean Jackson, helping draw away attention on deep routes.

Maclin picked up Andy Reid’s complex west coast offense quickly, and he still has plenty of room to grow after his successful rookie campaign.  Maclin had a huge Wild Card performance with 7 receptions 146 yards receiving and a touchdown after there were concerns that he hit a rookie wall late in the season. Maclin only had 2 broken tackles all season and he has an opportunity to become a better weapon if he can create more yardage on shorter patterns.

Maclin was highly coveted during the NFL Draft and he flashed enough big play ability to lead us to believe that he will be a top fantasy wide receiver for many years to come.

Percy Harvin
60 rec, 790 yards, 6 TD

What makes Percy Harvin’s Rookie of the Year season even more impressive is that he was the #3 wide receiver for the Vikings.  Harvin worked exclusively from the slot and he was a fantasy contributor from the start scoring a touchdown in his first two games.

Harvin is a flat-out play-maker in all facets of the game.  Harvin lead the league in broken tackles and he was a threat to score every time he had the football in his hands.  The character concerns that caused Harvin to slide in the draft did not surface, and Harvin was one of the hardest working players on the team.

Harvin erased any doubts about his ability to adapt to the wide receiver at the next level.  Harvin will form an impressive tandem with Sidney Rice for the near future, even if Brett Favre only plays one more season.  Players like Wes Welker have shown that they can be a productive fantasy option on a strong passing team despite playing from the slot position.  It is hard not to root for a player like Harvin that fights for every yard on the football field.

Hakeem Nicks
47 rec, 790 yards, 6 TD

Hakeem Nicks put his big-play ability on display as a rookie and eased any concerns that the Giants had when they missed out on Jeremy Maclin in the draft.  Nicks was the other receiver from North Carolina for most of his college career, and his strong junior season propelled him into the first round of the NFL Draft.  Nicks missed two games with a foot injury and made up for lost time when he returned with four touchdowns over 50 yards for the season.

Nicks inherited the starting flanker position from Mario Manningham by mid-season and put his strong hands and tough running after the catch ability on display.  Nicks led the league in yards after catch per reception, and broke nine tackles along the way.

Nicks is a legitimate #1 wide receiver and he will take that role this season from Steve Smith.  Nicks is fearless going over the middle, tough to bring down in the open field, and already has some of the best hands in the league.  Nicks will be a mainstay in the top-10 for many years to come.

Kenny Britt
42 rec, 701 yards, 3 TD

The last wide receiver selected in the first round, Kenny Britt went on to lead the Titans in receiving despite not starting until Week 10.  The Titans struggled out of the gate with a 0-6 record and a strong commitment to getting Chris Johnson to the 2,000 yard rushing mark.  Britt proved to be a more effective player than Justin Gage, and Vince Young relied on him in big moments down the stretch.  Britt caught the game-winning touchdown in Week 12 versus Arizona in the final seconds of the game.  Britt utilized his big-frame to get open against tough coverage and broke nine tackles in the open field.

Kenny Britt is an interesting player.  He was productive at the college level despite concerns about this work ethic and maturity.  Those concerns have resurfaced again this off-season, Britt showed up to organized team activities out of shape and unprepared to take the next step as a professional.

Tennessee will remain committed to the ground game for the foreseeable future, so it is hard to envision Britt as a top flight fantasy option.  Although Britt makes the most of his few opportunities each game, he may never become a weekly must-start option in his career.  Britt remains a top-30 option in redraft and dynasty leagues.

Conclusion

Darrius Heyward-Bey is the lone question mark of the six wide receivers taken in the first round last year.  Each of the remaining players could be considered top-30 options in just their second seasons, which is an impressive feat to say the least.

Michael Crabtree and Hakeem Nicks have shown they can be legitimate No. 1 wide receivers for their respective teams, and both have top-10 fantasy upside.

Jeremy Maclin has room to grow as a player.  If he continues to refine his route-running and knowledge of the game, Maclin could develop into a Reggie Wayne type of wide receiver for new franchise QB Kevin Kolb.

Percy Harvin will continue to keep opposing defensive coordinators up late at night with his ability to score from anywhere on the field.

Kenny Britt will be a solid professional in the mold of a Mushin Muhammad.  Britt will be a top-30 option for most of his career and will have a few top-10 seasons like Muhammad did.

Darrius Heyward-Bey is in danger of becoming the next Troy Williamson.  He needs to build on his positive reports this off-season and put his impressive speed to work with new quarterback Jason Campbell.

2009 First Round Wide Receivers by the Numbers:

Catch Percentage
Percy Harvin 69.77
Hakeem Nicks 66.20
Jeremy Maclin 63.95
Kenny Britt 60.00
Michael Crabtree 58.50
Darrius Heyward-Bey 23.70
Missed Tackles Per Game
Percy Harvin 1.47
Michael Crabtree 0.82
Hakeem Nicks 0.64
Kenny Britt 0.56
Jeremy Maclin 0.13
Darrius Heyward-Bey 0.00
Targets Per Game
Michael Crabtree 7.45
Jeremy Maclin 5.73
Percy Harvin 5.73
Hakeem Nicks 5.07
Kenny Britt 4.38
Darrius Heyward-Bey 3.45

Fantasy Points Per/Game

FP/G % in Top 24
Percy Harvin 11.67 46.67%
Hakeem Nicks 11.57 35.71%
Michael Crabtree 11.14 36.36%
Jeremy Maclin 10.35 40.00%
Kenny Britt 8.13 31.25%
Darrius Heyward-Bey 2.49 0.00%
**11.83 Per Game (WR24)

All Statistics courtesy of ProFootballFocus.com

Fantasy DC Blitz Podcast – 7/1/10

Bryan Fontaine and Mike Clay talk NFL News and Notes, Twitter DraftMaster, Wide Receiver rankings and draft strategy.

Click here for the podcast link.

News Discussed:

  • Vincent Jackson 3-game suspension
  • Michael Vick and Cedric Benson
  • Impact of Willie Colon’s injury to the Steelers and Rashard Mendenhall
  • Maurice Jones-Drew gets a fantasy football radio show

Twitter DraftMaster July:

Click here for the league link

Mike and I breakdown each of our teams through the first 5 rounds.  16-team PPR League, WCOFF Scoring

  • Team Breakdowns
  • Favorite Picks
  • Biggest Surprises
  • Stay tuned for drafts every three weeks to study draft volatility

Moving Up the Depth Chart: Legedu Naanee

The Rookie Blitz: Arrelious Benn

Wide Receiver Rankings

  • Top-5
  • Overrated
  • Underrated
  • What’s your strategy?

Our podcast airs live every Thursday at 7 PM EST on the Fantasy Sports Channel powered by Blog Talk Radio.  There is always a live chat, and we interact with our listeners and answer questions during the show.

You can subscribe to our show for free using iTunes.  Click here for the link.

We answer all fantasy football questions from Twitter and e-mail.

Here is how to reach us:

E-Mail: Info@RookieBlitz.com

Twitter: Bryan Fontaine – @RookieBlitz, Mike Clay @FDC_MikeClay

Thank you for listening to our show.  We enjoy all feedback and criticism.

June Update 1.0: Dynasty Rookie WR Rankings

All 32 NFL teams will report for training camps in less than two months, and the excitement for the 2010 season is building.

We continually tweak our rookie rankings for you right up until the season begins, and it is time to release our latest update.

Here is the latest on several wide receivers making headlines since our May ranking update.

Demaryius Thomas:

Demaryius Thomas finally returned to the practice field this week after breaking his foot in February.  Per the Denver Post report, Thomas did not experience any setbacks or pain while doing individual drills.  Brady Quinn is already impressed with Thomas:

“He’s just such a big kid, and you don’t really realize it until he gets out there on the field,” Broncos quarterback Brady Quinn said. “His route running looked pretty solid. I know he’s just coming back, but he looked good out there.”

Dexter McCluster:

One thing is very clear: Dexter McCluster is going to add a spark to the Chiefs’ offense.  The Kansas City Star breaks down McCluster’s exploding shoe after torching the defense in a recent OTA practice.  Don’t let McCluster’s slow 40-yard dash times at the combine fool you, in game situations there isn’t a faster player on the field.

Arrelious Benn:

TAMPA - MAY 01: Receiver Arrelious Benn #17 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers catches a pass during the Buccaneers Rookie mini camp at One Buccaneer Place on May 1, 2010 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by J. Meric/Getty Images)

We have gone on record many times that we have concerns about Arrelious Benn as a pro-prospect.  His lack of production is alarming in his junior season (38 rec 490 yards 2 TD).  His poor production has been pinned on quarterback Juice Williams by many draft experts.  He is often compared to Anquan Boldin because of his physical style of play after the catch, but Boldin was a better prospect in 2003 and had the college production to back it up.  We are willing to slightly upgrade Benn on the basis of his poor quarterback situation, but he will be long gone in any rookie draft format before we would select him.  Benn is far from a sure-thing and selecting him comes with great risk.

The ranking score for each player is based on several factors:

  • Pre-draft scouting reports
  • College production
  • Strength of team scouting department
  • Draft selection
  • Offensive scheme
  • 2010 Team Schedule

Wide Receiver Rankings (WR) – Previous Ranking in Parenthesis

  1. Dez Bryant – Cowboys 9.97 (1)
  2. Demaryius Thomas – Broncos 8.66 (2)
  3. Golden Tate – Seahawks 8.60 (3)
  4. Dexter McCluster – Chiefs 8.00 (5)
  5. Damian Williams – Titans 7.94 (4)
  6. Arrelious Benn – Buccaneers 7.86 (9)
  7. Andre Roberts – Cardinals 7.77 (6)
  8. Brandon LaFell – Panthers 7.77 (7)
  9. Mardy Gilyard – Rams 7.65 (8)
  10. Eric Decker – Broncos 7.35 (10)
  11. Mike Williams – Buccaneers 7.30 (12)
  12. Emmanuel Sanders – Steelers 7.29 (13)
  13. Taylor Price – Patriots 7.17 (11)
  14. Jordan Shipley – Bengals 6.99 (14)
  15. Armanti Edwards – Panthers 6.63 (17)
  16. Riley Cooper – Eagles 6.63 (16)
  17. Marcus Easley – Bills 6.56 (18)
  18. Carlton Mitchell – Browns 6.36 (21)
  19. Dezmon Briscoe – Bengals 6.14 (15)
  20. Jacoby Ford – Raiders 6.13 (20)
  21. Blair White – Colts 6.09 (23)
  22. Jeremy Williams – Chargers 6.07 (19)
  23. David Reed – Ravens 6.05 (22)
  24. Kerry Meier – Falcons 5.97 (UR)
  25. Dorin Dickerson – Texans 5.86 (24)
  26. Antonio Brown – Steelers 5.83 (25)
  27. David Gettis – Panthers 5.77 (26)
  28. Joe Webb – Vikings 5.46 (27)
  29. Kyle Williams – 49ers 5.20 (28)
  30. Chris McGaha – Jaguars 5.03 (29)

May Update: Rookie WR Rankings

It has been almost a month since the conclusion of the 2010 NFL Draft and it is time to update our dynasty positional rankings for the rookie class.

Several teams have already held minicamps and the beat writers have been out in full force providing us with all the updates we need to further evaluate these prospects.

Here are the latest updates:

Dez Bryant:

Dez Bryant is one of the best wide receiver prospects to enter the draft in several years.  The Dallas media has been impressed with Bryant’s performance to date, and he has a very good shot to unseat veteran Roy Williams before the season begins.  Rob Phillips of DallasCowboys.com expects Bryant to have significant playing time if he can pick up the playbook quickly.

Dez Bryant should be the No. 1 pick in all dynasty rookie drafts.  He landed in an explosive offense that has their eyes set on the Super Bowl, and they will not hesitate to get him involved early.  Dez Bryant reminds us of Terrell Owens in his prime.

Demaryius Thomas:

2010 NFL Draft Round 1

Demaryius Thomas will get every opportunity to replace the departed Brandon Marshall as the Broncos’ No. 1 wide receiver.  Bill Williamson of ESPN.com believes that Thomas will not be brought along slowly and the Broncos want him to shine right away.

Thomas was drafted before Dez Bryant because he is a skilled, hard worker, without character concerns.  We have moved Thomas up one spot in our wide receiver rankings with his potential to become an elite player, despite the concerns that he needs refinement in his route running and breaks.

Golden Tate:

Golden Tate has made impressive plays in practice and drawn the praise of new head coach Pete Carroll on many occasions.  Tate’s 2010 value largely depends on how Deion Branch performs, but Tate is a good bet to see significant snaps by midseason.

Reports are just now surfacing that the Seahawks made an exploratory phone call to Terrell Owens earlier in the offseason.  Those rumors have lost some steam lately, mostly due to how good Golden Tate looks in minicamps.

Arrelious Benn:

We are holding firm in our ranking of Arrelious Benn (9th WR, 22 Overall).

His lack of college production is alarming and he suffered from a poor junior campaign.  Many attribute his struggles to poor quarterback play and a sprained ankle, but the bottom line is that Benn didn’t get the job done.  Benn does have some skills after the catch and can be tough to bring down in the open field, but he lacks deep speed, explosiveness, and struggles with catching the football consistently.

The Buccaneers’ offense will continue to struggle even though Benn could see the lion’s share of targets from Josh Freeman.  Benn is too risky to take in the top-10, let alone in the first 20 selections of your rookie draft.  Let someone else make the mistake.

The ranking score for each player is based on several factors:

  • Pre-draft scouting reports
  • College production
  • Strength of team scouting department
  • Draft selection
  • Offensive scheme
  • 2010 Team Schedule

Wide Receiver Rankings (WR) – Previous Ranking in Parenthesis

  1. Dez Bryant – Cowboys 9.98 (1)
  2. Demaryius Thomas – Broncos 8.62 (3)
  3. Golden Tate – Seahawks 8.59 (2)
  4. Damian Williams – Titans 8.03 (4)
  5. Dexter McCluster – Chiefs 7.99 (7*)
  6. Andre Roberts – Cardinals 7.98 (6)
  7. Brandon LaFell – Panthers 7.84 (5)
  8. Mardy Gilyard – Rams 7.74 (7)
  9. Arrelious Benn –Buccaneers 7.60 (8)
  10. Eric Decker – Broncos 7.38 (9)
  11. Taylor Price –Patriots 7.30 (11)
  12. Mike Williams – Buccaneers 7.27 (10)
  13. Emmanuel Sanders –Steelers 7.25 (15)
  14. Jordan Shipley –Bengals 7.16 (12)
  15. Dezmon Briscoe –Bengals  6.98 (13)
  16. Riley Cooper – Eagles 6.83 (14)
  17. Armanti Edwards –Panthers 6.80 (20)
  18. Marcus Easley – Bills 6.72 (21)
  19. Jeremy Williams – Chargers  6.64 (UR)
  20. Jacoby Ford – Raiders 6.53 (17)
  21. Carlton Mitchell – Browns 6.48 (18)
  22. David Reed – Ravens 6.46 (16)
  23. Blair White – Colts 6.43 (UR)
  24. Dorin Dickerson – Texans 6.29 (11**)
  25. Antonio Brown – Steelers 6.18 (19)
  26. David Gettis – Panthers 6.13 (22)
  27. Joe Webb – Vikings 5.74 (24)
  28. Kyle Williams – 49ers 5.62 (23)
  29. Chris McGaha – Jaguars 5.44 (UR)
  30. Shay Hodge – 49ers 5.38 (UR)

*Dexter McCluster was ranked as a running back in our April Rankings.

**Dorin Dickerson was ranked as a tight end in our April Rankings.

Post Draft Rookie WR Rankings

The three-day 2010 NFL Draft extravaganza is finally in the books and we now know where the top college prospects will begin their professional careers.

We have taken the time to provide you updated dynasty rookie rankings at the wide receiver position.

We will add commentary for each player as soon as we learn more about their new roles after team mini-camps begin.

The ranking score for each player is based on several factors:

  • Pre-draft scouting reports
  • College production
  • Strength of team scouting department
  • Draft selection
  • Offensive scheme
  • 2010 Team Schedule

Wide Receiver Rankings (WR)

  1. Dez Bryant – Dallas Cowboys (9.95)
  2. Golden Tate – Seattle Seahawks (8.94)
  3. Demaryius Thomas – Denver Broncos (8.60)
  4. Damian Williams – Tennessee Titans (8.51)
  5. Brandon LaFell – Carolina Panthers (8.41)
  6. Andre Roberts – Arizona Cardinals (8.24)
  7. Mardy Gilyard – St. Louis Rams (7.93)
  8. Arrelious Benn – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7.89)
  9. Eric Decker – Denver Broncos (7.88)
  10. Mike Williams – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7.72)
  11. Taylor Price – New England Patriots (7.52)
  12. Jordan Shipley – Cincinnati Bengals (7.51)
  13. Dezmon Briscoe – Cincinnati Bengals (7.31)
  14. Riley Cooper – Philadelphia Eagles (7.21)
  15. Emmanuel Sanders – Pittsburgh Steelers (7.18)
  16. David Reed – Baltimore Ravens (7.12)
  17. Jacoby Ford – Oakland Raiders (6.96)
  18. Carlton Mitchell – Cleveland Browns (6.70)
  19. Antonio Brown – Pittsburgh Steelers (6.56)
  20. Armanti Edwards – Carolina Panthers (6.52)
  21. Marcus Easley – Buffalo Bills (6.31)
  22. David Gettis – Carolina Panthers (5.87)
  23. Kyle Williams – San Francisco 49ers (5.47)
  24. Joe Webb – Minnesota Vikings (4.90)

Rookie Rankings – Wide Receiver

We have worked hard at Rookie Blitz headquarters to compile information and game tape for the 2010 NFL Draft class.

We are now ready to release our initial rookie fantasy rankings after reviewing college production, scouting reports, all-star games, and the scouting combine.  In our first installment, we reviewed the top tight ends available.

Top-12 Tight Ends

Wide Receiver

Georgia v Oklahoma State

Despite concerns about his character and maturity, Dez Bryant is the top wide receiver available.  He has everything you look for in a #1 wide receiver and his college production backs up his measurables.  Bryant should deserve consideration for the top selection in dynasty rookie drafts.

The depth at the position is impressive, but there are question marks for many players that could cause them to fall to the second round of the NFL Draft. In fact, there is a large gap between Bryant and Golden Tate in our fantasy rankings.  Tate has the college production in a pro-style offense and had a solid combine performance to boost his stock.  Aside from Bryant, Tate may be one of the most pro-ready players available.

Demaryius Thomas has the size and strength required, however, there are concerns about his ability to run the entire route tree.  If you watch highlights of Thomas, most of his big plays came on broken coverage or go-routes over the top of the defense.

Mardy Gilyard and Damian Williams are both more quick than fast and should develop into solid starting options.  Gilyard offers added value as a kick returner and it is hard to overlook his college production.  Williams does not fit the profile of many of the failed wide receivers from USC in recent years.  His game more resembles that of Steve Smith than Dwayne Jarrett or Mike Williams.

We have Andre Roberts rated higher than he will be drafted.  Roberts has been the talk of the offseason and his production at the Citadel makes us believe he could be a sleeper in the right offensive system. Mike Williams has first round talent and seventh round character.  Williams is the biggest boom-bust prospect available and he will need constant monitoring to succeed.  Brandon LaFell and Arrelious Benn will be drafted in the early second round but we are not sold on their pro prospects.  It can be argued that both were hurt by poor quarterback play but the lack of college production is alarming.

Ole Miss's Dexter McCluster in the AT&T Cotton Bowl

Dexter McCluster will be an exciting player to watch but may never be a consistent fantasy producer.  Jacoby Ford does not play as fast as his 40 yard dash time of 4.28 would indicate.  Ford did not stand out at the Senior Bowl, though, his speed is intriguing.  For all of the positive buzz that Taylor Price has generated, we have concerns that he was not more of standout at Ohio.

1. Dez Bryant – Oklahoma State
2. Golden Tate – Notre Dame
3. Demaryius Thomas – Georgia Tech
4. Mardy Gilyard – Cincinnati
5. Damian Williams – USC
6. Andre Roberts – Citadel
7. Mike Williams – Syracuse
8. Brandon LaFell – LSU
9. Arrelious Benn – Illinois
10. Dezmon Briscoe – Kansas
11. Eric Decker – Minnesota
12. Jordan Shipley – Texas
13. Carlton Mitchell – South Florida
14. Jacoby Ford – Clemson
15. Jeremy Williams – Tulane
16. Emmanuel Sanders – Southern Methodist
17. Dexter McCluster – Mississippi
18. Shay Hodge – Mississippi
19. Antonio Brown – Central Michigan
20. Riley Cooper – Florida
21. Taylor Price – Ohio
22. Danario Alexander – Missouri
23. Freddie Barnes – Bowling Green
24. David Reed – Utah
25. Marcus Easley – Connecticut
26. Alric Arnett – West Virginia
27. Chris McGaha – Arizona State
28. Verran Tucker – California
29. David Gettis – Baylor
30. Blair White – Michigan State

2009 Draft Class – Season Preview

Finally the preseason is over, roster cuts have been made and the season is less than a week away.  RookieBlitz.com takes a second look of its ranked players and highlights the rookies that will help you win your Fantasy Football League in 2009.  Watching preseason football can be tedious at times, but it is very important to see how the new rookies will adapt to the speed, pressure, and schemes they are put in.  Read on for several players that RookieBlitz.com recommends are on every team this season.

Find the previous RookieBlitz.com Season Previews here: Quarterbacks, Running Backs, Wide Receiver (Part 1 and Part 2), and Tight Ends

Quarterback

Mark Sanchez – NYJ: Sanchez looks the part of a franchise quarterback.  He will struggle as a rookie, but he appears to have “it”.  Sanchez (NYJ vs. MIA) is a viable starting option for Aaron Rodgers owners during the Packers Week 5 Bye.

Matthew Stafford – DET: The Lions have yet to name their starting QB, and when Stafford gets his chance this season you will want to monitor him on the waiver wire depending on the size of your league.  He will run hot and cold much like a Jay Cutler, but get used to saying Stafford to Calvin Johnson.

Running Back

Knowshon Moreno – DEN: Moreno is currently nursing a knee injury that will hamper him the first few weeks of the NFL season.  The cream will rise to the top and you can use his injury to your advantage as he falls in drafts or as a trade target from a nervous owner.  He could be a key contributor for your team beginning after Week 4, and is still the RookieBlitz.com choice for Rookie of the Year.

Donald Brown – IND: This guy has everything you are looking for in a running back and is already one of the hardest working members of the Colts.  Brown could be one of the top keeper players in 2010 with a big season as the lead back in the Colts committee approach with Joseph Addai.  Brown will pass Addai at some point in 2009.

Chris “Beanie” Wells – ARI: Unless you take him early, you probably won’t get Wells on your team in 2009.  I am higher on Moreno and Brown, but Wells still is a big and fast physical specimen.  Only Tim Hightower stands in his way of the starting job.  One final word of caution, the Cardinals will still make their hay passing the ball to Fitzgerald and Boldin and there isn’t much history of successful lead backs in Arizona.

LeSean McCoy – PHI: It is hard to believe McCoy’s talent matches the massive hype surrounding him.  He was previously compared to Jamaal Charles by RookieBlitz.com, which is not a slight at either player.  Should he get an opportunity due to injury to Brian Westbrook, McCoy would be an every week start in the high powered Eagles offense even with his talent shortcomings.

Shonn Greene – NYJ: It is hard to see the hype based on the game film of Shonn Greene so far in preseason action.  Leon Washington is finally flashing his all around talent and Thomas Jones still looks like a solid running back.  Greene would get a chance with an injury to Jones, but Washington would get a larger share of the carries in that scenario.

James Davis – CLE: Davis has showed big play ability this preseason after he fell in the draft due to a subpar senior season at Clemson.  Davis will capitalize on his opportunity and will earn some late season starts as the Browns try to see what they have in him.  Don’t go too crazy to get Davis early in your drafts; Cleveland is still in for a long season in 2009.
Mike Goodson – CAR: Goodson is too talented to keep off the field as he has been one of the best stories this preseason.  You need to keep an eye on the Jonathan Stewart injury situation.  Goodson should be a target on DeAngelo Williams owners as a handcuff, Stewart will be drafted too high to be considered.

Bernard Scott – CIN: One of the stars of Hard Knocks, Scott has the best chance to be this year’s Steve Slaton.  He’s already locked down the backup job to Benson and needs to be on one of the last spots on your roster.

Glenn Coffee – SF and Rashad Jennings – JAX: Coffee will be the primary backup to Frank Gore, and Jennings will backup Maurice Jones-Drew.

Wide Receiver

Percy Harvin – MIN: One of the most hyped rookies this preseason, you need to have clarity in you believe in Harvin in 2009.  You’ll have to draft him before more established veterans like Derrick Mason, Torry Holt and Donald Driver.  Harvin’s talent is undeniable, but you may be better off going with one of the veterans instead.

Hakeem Nicks – NYG: Nicks will supplant Hixon by midseason at the latest.  Nicks has been showing his big play ability the last 2 games of the preseason and will force his way into more playing time for the Giants.

Jeremy Maclin – PHI: Maclin is developing nicely and could have more of an early opportunity with the injury concerns surrounding Kevin Curtis.  McNabb has already stated he thinks Maclin could start now.

Kenny Britt – TEN: Britt was one of the players this preseason that made me change my outlook for him based on his play.  He could develop into a matchup nightmare like a Brandon Marshall.  He is likely an early season starter with Nate Washington on the mend.

Darrius Heyward-Bey – OAK:  Chaz Schilens will be out for several more weeks, so Heyward-Bey will be the top option for the Raiders by default.  He is worth a late round flier based on his upside, but his best case scenario long term is a Bryant Johnson type that flashes ability inconsistently.

Michael Crabtree – SF: Crabtree continues to holdout.  He has little redraft value left in 2009; he is worth a last round flier as a player to watch in 2010.

Deon Butler – SEA: Butler is another player that was worth another look this preseason based on his play.  He could supplant Deion Branch at some point this season as the starting slot receiver.

Brian Hartline – MIA: Fourth round pick Brian Hartline got some starts this preseason so stay tuned to find out if it was a motivational play to Bess and Camarillo or if he is a deep sleeper good enough to start as a rookie in the NFL.

Sammie Stroughter – TB: Stroughter has proved he shouldn’t have fallen to the 7th round and has worked himself into a prominent role in the Buccaneers’ offense.

Austin Collie – IND: Collie is too talented to keep off the field.  He’ll be in a rotation with Pierre Garcon for the slot receiver position in the high octane Colts offense.

Mohamed Massaquoi and Brian Robiskie – CLE: Neither player stood out this preseason, but are worth monitoring because of the wide open opportunity at wide receiver in Cleveland.

Tight End

Jared Cook – TEN: Cook will play a hybrid WR/TE role in 2009, and will make some big plays out of the slot when matched against slower linebackers.  Temper expectations (Remember Vernon Davis), but he could still be in for some big games.

Brandon Pettigrew – DET: Pettigrew will be the second receiving option for the Lions behind Calvin Johnson.  He’s not worth getting excited about, but monitor him on the waiver wire.  Rookie tight ends tend to struggle so don’t count on him for consistent production.

RookieBlitz.com Certified Fresh Rookies in 2009

The following players are worthy of being on your fantasy football roster in 2009 if at all possible:

QB: Mark Sanchez
RB: Knowshon Moreno, Donald Brown, James Davis, Mike Goodson, Bernard Scott
WR: Percy Harvin, Hakeem Nicks

Donald Brown, Knowshon Moreno, and Percy Harvin will cost you a mid-round selection as the hype around each is considerable.  Each is worth the price to acquire them.

Monitor Sanchez, Davis, Goodson, Scott and Nicks as you fill out the end of your roster on draft day.  The payoff for each could be huge, and you’ll beat your leaguemates to the punch as they lead your team to the top in 2009.

Stay tuned to RookieBlitz.com thought-out the season as we highlight the key rookie performances from each week and give you the analysis you need to win your fantasy football league!